This project aims to define scenarios, project anthropogenic emissions and greenhouse gas (GHG) removals by sinks, and model mitigation actions for Panama’s Inclusive Low-Emission and Climate-Resilient National Socioeconomic Strategy by 2050. The initiative seeks to provide a robust scientific and technical foundation to guide public policies and strategic decisions, enabling the country to achieve its emission reduction targets and enhance its resilience to climate change.

The study focuses on creating detailed scenarios that project GHG emissions and the absorption capacity of natural sinks, such as forests and soils, under different socioeconomic and climatic conditions. Additionally, mitigation actions in key sectors like energy, transportation, agriculture, industry, and waste are modeled, assessing their potential to reduce emissions and their impact on inclusive socioeconomic development. These scenarios and models help identify the most effective policies and measures for transitioning to a low-carbon and resilient economy.

The project’s outcomes include a clear, evidence-based roadmap for implementing the National Strategy, integrating both GHG mitigation and climate adaptation. This approach not only supports Panama’s international commitments under the Paris Agreement but also promotes sustainable and inclusive development, ensuring that climate actions benefit all sectors of society.